9/29 – NCAAF – Saturday’s Top Plays

12:00pm:  SYRACUSE VS. CLEMSON

CRS spread: Clemson -9.665

PICK: SYRACUSE +22 (-110)

RISK: 2 UNITS

The 4-0 Orange defeated Clemson, also 4-0, last season as a similar underdog (23.5 points) at home.  This time around, QB Eric Dungey takes his 9 TD's and 1 INT into Clemson Memorial Stadium.

Tiger's QB Trevor Lawrence also has 9 TD's with 2 INT's.

Clemson has an excellent defense, but SYR is averaging almost 50 points a game so far so it will take a lot to cover 3 plus touchdowns.  I don't think Clemson will in this early afternoon ACC matchup.

 

12:20pm:  VIRGINIA VS. NC STATE

CRS spread: Virginia -1.35

PICK: VIRGINIA +6.5 (-105)

RISK: 2 UNITS

UVA's (3-1) defense is riding high after last week's 27-3 win over Louisville, but offensively they are led by QB Bryce Perkins, RB Jordan Ellis and WR Olamide Zaccheaus.

The 3-0 Wolfpack are led by QB Ryan Finley, who has already totaled 1,056 passing yards.

Not much separates these squads in my analysis, so I see the 6.5 points you get with the Cavaliers as a gift.  Take it.

 

3:30pm:  BAYLOR VS. OKLAHOMA

CRS spread: Oklahoma -10.49

PICK: BAYLOR +23.5 (-110)

RISK: 2 UNITS

The 3-1 Bears are averaging 36.2 ppg. behind QB Charlie Brewer, but they give up 23.5.

The 4-0 Sooners were nearly upended Saturday in a 28-21 OT thriller vs. Army as a 30 point favorite.       QB Kyler Murray is in the Heisman conversation with 1,028 passing yards (68.2%) and 11 TD's.  He has also rushed for 240 yards and 3 TD's.

This one will be high-scoring, likely going over the 68.5 current number, but I like Baylor to get their share of points to cover the 3 touchdown plus spread.

 

7:30pm:  OHIO STATE VS. PENN STATE

CRS spread: Penn State -6.11

PICK: PENN STATE +3.5 (-110)

RISK: 2 UNITS

Big Ten heavyweight matchup here with both teams coming in at 4-0.  OSU QB Dwayne Haskins already has 16 TD's vs. just 1 INT.

PSU RB Miles Sanders has 495 yards (7.0 yards per carry) and 5 TD's.

I believe this one will be decided with defense and the running game, where I give the Nittany Lions an edge in both.  Penn State outright at home.

 

10:30pm:  OREGON VS. CALIFORNIA

CRS spread: California -4.235

PICK: CALIFORNIA +3 (-115)

RISK: 1 UNIT

The 3-1 Ducks lost a heartbreaking 38-31 OT contest Saturday to #7 Stanford.  QB Justin Herbert and company will look to return to their winning ways in this one.

The 3-0 Golden Bears have been solid, if not impressive, and rely heavily on defensive line featuring the likes of Luc Bequette, Rusty Becker, Zeandae Johnson, Tevin Paul, and Chris Palmer.

I think Oregon struggles after last weeks devastating loss here on the road in Berkeley.  Take CAL and the points.

Good luck, players!

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