NFL – Week 4




Week 3 results:  9-7, -1.03 units

YTD results:  25-23 (52%), -13.11 units, -7.99% ROI

A reminder, I no longer require a subscription to access the handicapping tables, including these NFL Calculated Relative Spread (CRS) tables.  I want as many players as possible to have access to this handicapping tool.  Instead, I'm taking a leap of faith in relying on those that see a benefit in using the tables to contribute an amount in line with what they think it's worth to them.  It's an easy PayPal.Me transaction here.  Thank you in advance.

Week 4 tables below:

Thursday 8:25pmMiami +7Cincinnati -7
Simple Rating System (SRS)+6.9-2.0
Drive Scoring Avg. (Sc%)-1 (26 - 28.2)0 (19 - 32.4)
Defense (rank - ppg)0 (16 - 22.3)0 (20 - 25.0)
QB Rating (rating)-1 Tannehill (88.8)-1 Dalton (89.0)
Home Field0+3
Totals+4.90
Calculated Relative Spread -4.9+4.9
Pick (units)MIA +7 (4 units)-------
Sunday 9:30amIndianapolis -2.5Jacksonville +2.5
Simple Rating System (SRS)-0.5-5.0
Drive Scoring Avg. (Sc%)+1 (6 - 45.5)-0.5 (24 - 28.6)
Defense (rank - ppg)-1.5 (30 - 31.7)-1 (25 - 28.0)
QB Rating (rating)0 Luck (93.2)-1.5 Bortles (75.0)
Home Field0+3
Totals-1-5
Calculated Relative Spread (differential)-4+4
Pick (units)IND -2.5 (1 unit)-------
Sunday 1:00pmCarolina -3Atlanta +3
Simple Rating System (SRS)+7.9-5.8
Drive Scoring Avg. (Sc%)0 (13 - 38.9)+1.5 (1 - 54.8)
Defense (rank - ppg)0 (18 - 23.3)-1 (28 - 30.3)
QB Rating (rating)-1.5 Newton (78.0)+1.5 Ryan (119.0)
Home Field0+3
Totals+6.4-0.8
Calculated Relative Spread-7.2+7.2
Pick (units)CAR -3 (2 units)-------
Sunday 1:00pmOakland +3Baltimore -3
Simple Rating System (SRS)-7.1+5.6
Drive Scoring Avg. (Sc%)0 (14 - 38.2)0 (15 - 37.1)
Defense (rank - ppg)-0.5 (22 - 26.3)+1.5 (4 - 14.7)
QB Rating (rating)+1 Carr (99.1)-1.5 Flacco (77.4)
Home Field0+3
Totals-6.6+8.6
Calculated Relative Spread+15.2-15.2
Pick (units)-------BAL -3 (5 units)


Bet at 5dimes

Sunday 1:00pmDetroit -3Chicago +3
Simple Rating System (SRS)+0.8-8.5
Drive Scoring Avg. (Sc%)+1 (5 - 46.7)-1.5 (32 - 18.2)
Defense (rank - ppg)-1 (27 - 28.3)-0.5 (23 - 27.7)
QB Rating (rating)+1.5 Stafford (105.0)0 Hoyer (93.3)
Home Field0+3
Totals+2.3-7.5
Calculated Relative Spread-9.8+9.8
Pick (units)DET -3 (4 units)-------
Sunday 1:00pmTennessee +5Houston -5
Simple Rating System (SRS)-4.1-0.7
Drive Scoring Avg. (Sc%)-1.5 (30 - 24.2)-1 (27 - 26.3)
Defense (rank - ppg)+1 (8 - 19.0)+1 (7 - 17.7)
QB Rating (rating)-1.5 Mariota (79.3)-1.5 Osweiler (72.2)
Home Field0+3
Totals-6.1+0.8
Calculated Relative Spread+6.9-6.9
Pick (units)-------HOU -5 (1 unit)
Sunday 1:00pmBuffalo +6.5New England -6.5
Simple Rating System (SRS)+3.2+14.8
Drive Scoring Avg. (Sc%)-0.5 (22 - 30.3)+0.5 (9 - 42.9)
Defense (rank - ppg)0 (17 - 22.7)+1 (5 - 15.0)
QB Rating (rating)-1.5 Taylor (83.6)+1.5 Garoppolo (119.0)
Home Field0+3
Totals+1.2+20.8
Calculated Relative Spread+19.6-19.6
Pick (units)-------NE -6.5 (5 units)
Sunday 1:00pmSeattle -2.5N.Y. Jets +2.5
Simple Rating System (SRS)+3.4-1.4
Drive Scoring Avg. (Sc%)0 (20 - 31.4)+0.5 (10 - 41.9)
Defense (rank - ppg)+1.5 (2 - 12.3)-0.5 (21 - 26.0)
QB Rating (rating)-1 Wilson (88.5)-1.5 Fitzpatrick (59.3)
Home Field0+3
Totals+3.9+0.1
Calculated Relative Spread-3.8 +3.8
Pick (units)SEA -2.5 (1 unit)-------
Sunday 1:00pmCleveland +7.5Washington -7.5
Simple Rating System (SRS)+1.7-17.2
Drive Scoring Avg. (Sc%)-1.5 (29 - 24.3)+1.5 (3 - 51.6)
Defense (rank - ppg)-1 (25 - 28.0)-1.5 (29 - 30.7)
QB Rating (rating)-1.5 Kessler (85.9)-1.5 Cousins (86.4)
Home Field0+3
Totals-1.8-15.7
Calculated Relative Spread-13.9+13.9
Pick (units)CLE +7.5 (5 units)-------


Bet at 5dimes

Sunday 4:05pmDenver -3Tampa Bay +3
Simple Rating System (SRS)+9.4-11.2
Drive Scoring Avg. (Sc%)+0.5 (11 - 40.6)-1 (28 - 25.6)
Defense (rank - ppg)+1 (8 - 19.0)-1.5 (32 - 33.7)
QB Rating (rating)0 Siemien (95.9)-1.5 Winston (81.0)
Home Field0+3
Totals+10.9-12.2
Calculated Relative Spread-23.1+23.1
Pick (units)DEN -3 (5 units)-------
Sunday 4:25pmLos Angeles +8Arizona -8
Simple Rating System (SRS)-7.1+6.2
Drive Scoring Avg. (Sc%)-1.5 (31 - 22.2)0 (18 - 33.3)
Defense (rank - ppg)+0.5 (12 - 21.0)+0.5 (12 - 21.0)
QB Rating (rating)-1.5 Keenum (66.1)-1.5 Palmer (80.5)
Home Field0+3
Totals-9.6+8.2
Calculated Relative Spread+17.8-17.8
Pick (units)-------ARI -8 (5 units)
Sunday 4:25pmNew Orleans +4San Diego -4
Simple Rating System (SRS)-16.3+6.4
Drive Scoring Avg. (Sc%)+1 (7 - 45.2)+1 (8 - 44.1)
Defense (rank - ypg)-1.5 (31 - 32.0)0 (19 - 24.3)
QB Rating (rating)+1.5 Brees (105.1)+1.5 Rivers (109.5)
Home Field0+3
Totals-15.3+11.9
Calculated Relative Spread+27.2-27.2
Pick (units)-------SD -4 (5 units)
Sunday 4:25pmDallas -3San Francisco +3
Simple Rating System (SRS)-9.3-0.6
Drive Scoring Avg. (Sc%)+1.5 (2 - 51.7)-0.5 (24 - 28.6)
Defense (rank - ppg)+0.5 (10 - 20.0)-0.5 (24 - 27.7)
QB Rating (rating)0 Prescott (93.3)-1.5 Gabbert (68.6)
Home Field0+3
Totals-7.3-0.1
Calculated Relative Spread+7.2-7.2
Pick (units)-------SF +3 (5 units)
Sunday 8:30pmKansas City +5Pittsburgh -5
Simple Rating System (SRS)+6.8+0.7
Drive Scoring Avg. (Sc%)0 (17 - 34.3)0 (20 - 31.4)
Defense (rank - ppg)+1 (6 - 16.3)0 (14 - 22.0)
QB Rating (rating)-0.5 Smith (90.6)-1.5 Roethlisberger (83.2)
Home Field0+3
Totals+7.3+2.2
Calculated Relative Spread-5.1+5.1
Pick (units)KC +5 (5 units)-------
Monday 8:30pmN.Y. Giants +4.5Minnesota -4.5
Simple Rating System (SRS)-15.0+12.9
Drive Scoring Avg. (Sc%)0 (16 - 35.5)-0.5 (22 - 30.3)
Defense (rank - ppg)+0.5 (11 - 20.3)+1.5 (3 - 13.3)
QB Rating (rating)+0.5 Manning (98.1)+1.5 Bradford (107.8)
Home Field0+3
Totals-14.0+18.4
Calculated Relative Spread+32.4-32.4
Pick (units)-------MIN -4.5 (5 units)

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