Thursday's results: 5-0, +6.41 units
YTD results: 165 - 207 -4 (44%), -88.86 units, -15.35% ROI
Contributions: PayPal.Me/WinniBet
Friday's analysis and tables below:
A huge 14 game NBA card this Friday and as far as I'm concerned, the best is last. Meaning I like the final game on the schedule as the best betting opportunity.
DAL at LAC -6
So, there's a couple of unknowns right now as far as available personnel for this match up. We know Griffin is OUT for the Clippers (22-8), but Paul tweaked a hamstring in the 3rd quarter of last night's win over the Spurs and did not return. He's questionable for tonight.
On the Dallas (8-21) side, there could be good news regarding Dirk Nowitzki, who hasn't played since Nov. 25th. He worked out on Thursday and could play tonight.
I'm going with the assumption that Paul doesn't play, while Nowitzki does.
With the FSI rating this one LAC -19.71 (FSI doesn't consider players' status) I have to assume there's a lot of personnel assumptions built into this line. Too much, in my opinion. The Clippers are still a better team and the Mavericks have won just twice all season on the road. It may not be a total blowout, but I'll gladly lay the 6 points here for a full 3 unit play.
Good luck, players!
| 7:00pm | Chicago +4 | Charlotte -4 |
| Simple Rating System (SRS) | +0.81 | +1.24 |
| Offensive Rating (ORtg) | 0 (15 - 107.1) | 0 (17 - 106.7) |
| Defensive Rating (DRtg) | +1 (8 - 105.1) | +1 (7 - 104.9) |
| Home Court | 0 | +3 |
| Total | +1.81 | +5.24 |
| Formulated Spread | +3.43 | -3.43 |
| Pick (units) | CHI +4 (1 unit) | ------- |
| 7:00pm | L.A. Lakers +5 | Orlando -5 |
| Simple Rating System (SRS) | -5.47 | -5.44 |
| Offensive Rating (ORtg) | 0 (19 - 106.2) | -1.5 (28 - 102.4) |
| Defensive Rating (DRtg) | -1.5 (29 - 112.4) | 0 (18 - 107.6) |
| Home Court | 0 | +3 |
| Total | -6.97 | -3.94 |
| Formulated Spread | +3.03 | -3.03 |
| Pick (units) | LAL +5 (1 unit) | ------- |
| 7:30pm | Brooklyn +16.5 | Cleveland -16.5 |
| Simple Rating System (SRS) | -7.64 | +8.04 |
| Offensive Rating (ORtg) | -1 (25 - 103.5) | +1.5 (3 - 114.9) |
| Defensive Rating (DRtg) | -1.5 (28 - 111.4) | 0 (14 - 106.8) |
| Home Court | 0 | +3 |
| Total | -10.14 | +12.54 |
| Formulated Spread | +22.68 | -22.68 |
| Pick (units) | ------- | CLE -16.5 (2 units) |
| 7:30pm | Oklahoma City +4 | Boston -4 |
| Simple Rating System (SRS) | +0.82 | +1.94 |
| Offensive Rating (ORtg) | 0 (15 - 107.1) | +0.5 (9 - 108.6) |
| Defensive Rating (DRtg) | +0.5 (9 - 105.7) | +0.5 (12 - 106.6) |
| Home Court | 0 | +3 |
| Total | +1.32 | +5.94 |
| Formulated Spread | +4.62 | -4.62 |
| Pick (units) | ------- | BOS -4 (1 unit) |
| 7:30pm | Golden State -7.5 | Detroit +7.5 |
| Simple Rating System (SRS) | +12.28 | +0.55 |
| Offensive Rating (ORtg) | +1.5 (2 - 116.2) | -0.5 (21 - 105.0) |
| Defensive Rating (DRtg) | +1.5 (2 - 102.8) | +1 (5 - 104.5) |
| Home Court | 0 | +3 |
| Total | +15.28 | +4.05 |
| Formulated Spread | -11.23 | +11.23 |
| Pick (units) | GS -7.5 (1 unit) | ------- |
| 8:00pm | Washington +3 | Milwaukee -3 |
| Simple Rating System (SRS) | -0.94 | +1.27 |
| Offensive Rating (ORtg) | +0.5 (12 - 107.8) | 0 (14 - 107.3) |
| Defensive Rating (DRtg) | -0.5 (21 - 108.6) | +0.5 (11 - 106.2) |
| Home Court | 0 | +3 |
| Total | -0.94 | +4.77 |
| Formulated Spread | +5.71 | -5.71 |
| Pick (units) | ------- | MIL -3 (1 unit) |
| 8:00pm | Houston -3.5 | Memphis +3.5 |
| Simple Rating System (SRS) | +6.90 | +0.16 |
| Offensive Rating (ORtg) | +1.5 (4 - 114.5) | -1.5 (29 - 102.0) |
| Defensive Rating (DRtg) | 0 (16 - 107.2) | +1.5 (1 - 102.0) |
| Home Court | 0 | +3 |
| Total | +8.40 | +3.16 |
| Formulated Spread | -5.24 | +5.24 |
| Pick (units) | HOU -3.5 (1 unit) | ------- |
| 8:00pm | Miami +5 | New Orleans -5 |
| Simple Rating System (SRS) | -2.34 | -3.96 |
| Offensive Rating (ORtg) | -1 (24 - 103.8) | -1 (26 - 103.0) |
| Defensive Rating (DRtg) | 0 (13 - 106.7) | 0 (17 - 107.3) |
| Home Court | 0 | +3 |
| Total | -3.34 | -1.96 |
| Formulated Spread | +1.38 | -1.38 |
| Pick (units) | MIA +5 (1 unit) | ------- |
| 8:00pm | Sacramento +3.5 | Minnesota -3.5 |
| Simple Rating System (SRS) | -1.99 | -1.81 |
| Offensive Rating (ORtg) | 0 (18 - 106.6) | +0.5 (11 - 108.4) |
| Defensive Rating (DRtg) | -0.5 (22 - 108.8) | -1 (25 - 110.7) |
| Home Court | 0 | +3 |
| Total | -2.49 | +0.69 |
| Formulated Spread | +3.18 | -3.18 |
| Pick (units) | SAC +3.5 (1 unit) | ------- |
| 9:00pm | Atlanta +4 | Denver -4 |
| Simple Rating System (SRS) | -1.93 | -2.19 |
| Offensive Rating (ORtg) | -0.5 (22 - 103.9) | +0.5 (10 - 108.5) |
| Defensive Rating (DRtg) | +0.5 (10 - 105.9) | -1 (26 - 110.7) |
| Home Court | 0 | +3 |
| Total | -1.93 | +0.31 |
| Formulated Spread | +2.24 | -2.24 |
| Pick (units) | ATL +4 (1 unit) | ------- |
| 9:00pm | Toronto -1.5 | Utah +1.5 |
| Simple Rating System (SRS) | +9.46 | +4.12 |
| Offensive Rating (ORtg) | +1.5 (1 - 117.6) | +1 (8 - 108.9) |
| Defensive Rating (DRtg) | -0.5 (20 - 107.9) | +1.5 (3 - 104.3) |
| Home Court | 0 | +3 |
| Total | +10.46 | +9.62 |
| Formulated Spread | -0.84 | +0.84 |
| Pick (units) | ------- | UTA +1.5 (1 unit) |
| 9:00pm | Philadelphia +4.5 | Phoenix -4.5 |
| Simple Rating System (SRS) | -7.85 | -7.06 |
| Offensive Rating (ORtg) | -1.5 (30 - 100.0) | -0.5 (22 - 103.9) |
| Defensive Rating (DRtg) | -0.5 (19 - 107.8) | -1 (25 - 110.7) |
| Home Court | 0 | +3 |
| Total | -9.85 | -6.06 |
| Formulated Spread | +3.79 | -3.79 |
| Pick (units) | PHI +4.5 (1 unit) | ------- |
| 10:00pm | San Antonio -2 | Portland +2 |
| Simple Rating System (SRS) | +6.10 | -2.87 |
| Offensive Rating (ORtg) | +1 (7 - 110.4) | +1 (6 - 110.5) |
| Defensive Rating (DRtg) | +1.5 (3 - 104.3) | -1.5 (30 - 114.1) |
| Home Court | 0 | +3 |
| Total | +8.60 | -0.37 |
| Formulated Spread | -8.97 | +8.97 |
| Pick (units) | SAS -2 (2 units) | ------- |
| 10:30pm | Dallas +5.5 | L.A. Clippers -5.5 |
| Simple Rating System (SRS) | -4.44 | +7.79 |
| Offensive Rating (ORtg) | -1.5 (27 - 102.6) | +1 (5 - 113.2) |
| Defensive Rating (DRtg) | -1 (23 - 108.9) | +1 (6 - 104.7) |
| Home Court | 0 | +3 |
| Total | -6.94 | +12.79 |
| Formulated Spread | +19.71 | -19.71 |
| Pick (units) | ------- | LAC -5.5 (3 units) |
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