NBA – 12/17







Friday's results:  3-7, -7.24 units

YTD results:  145 - 185 -3 (44%), -78.36 units, -16.49% ROI

Contributions:  PayPal.Me/WinniBet

Saturday's analysis and tables below:

7 games on Saturday's card, with one relatively early 5pm tip, PHO at OKC.

The one betting opportunity that stands out to me, however, is IND at DET -3.5.

I like the Pistons (14-14) in this spot at home, where they sport a solid 8-4 mark. They're coming in off a 122-108 loss in Washington last night, giving up 100 points for the 1st time in 7 games. I expect their defensive intensity to return this evening.

The Pacers (13-14) enter tonight's contest a little light in the backcourt with Ellis and Stuckey OUT. This will be the final game of a 3 game roadie and they have dropped the first 2 to go to just 3-10 away from home.

The FSI rates this one DET -10.86, so I recommend a 2 unit play on the Pistons.

Good luck, players!

5:00pmPhoenix +7Oklahoma City -7
Simple Rating System (SRS)-6.91+0.71
Offensive Rating (ORtg)-1 (24 - 103.4)-0.5 (19 - 105.7)
Defensive Rating (DRtg)-1 (24 - 109.7)+1 (8 - 105.0)
Home Court0+3
Total-8.91+4.21
Formulated Spread+13.12-13.12
Pick (units)-------OKC -7 (2 units)
7:00pmIndiana +3.5Detroit -3.5
Simple Rating System (SRS)-3.19+2.67
Offensive Rating (ORtg)-0.5 (21 - 104.9)0 (17 - 106.0)
Defensive Rating (DRtg)0 (16 - 107.1)+1.5 (2 - 103.2)
Home Court0+3
Total-3.69+7.17
Formulated Spread+10.86-10.86
Pick (units)-------DET -3.5 (2 units)
7:30pmCharlotte +1.5Atlanta -1.5
Simple Rating System (SRS)+1.16-1.62
Offensive Rating (ORtg)0 (18 - 105.9)-1 (23 - 103.7)
Defensive Rating (DRtg)+1 (5 - 104.4)+0.5 (9 - 105.3)
Home Court0+3
Total+2.16+0.88
Formulated Spread-1.28+1.28
Pick (units)CHA +1.5 (1 units)-------
7:30pmL.A. Lakers +16Cleveland -16
Simple Rating System (SRS)-5.70+8.06
Offensive Rating (ORtg)-0.5 (20 - 105.3)+1.5 (4 - 114.1)
Defensive Rating (DRtg)-1.5 (27 - 111.3)0 (13 - 106.3)
Home Court0+3
Total-7.70+12.06
Formulated Spread+17.76-17.76
Pick (units)-------CLE -16 (1 unit)
8:00pmHouston -4.5Minnesota +4.5
Simple Rating System (SRS)+7.28-2.57
Offensive Rating (ORtg)+1.5 (3 - 114.8)+0.5 (9 - 108.8)
Defensive Rating (DRtg)0 (17 - 107.2)-1.5 (29 - 111.9)
Home Court0+3
Total+8.78-0.57
Formulated Spread-9.35+9.35
Pick (units)HOU -4.5 (2 units)-------
9:00pmNew York +4Denver -4
Simple Rating System (SRS)-2.04-2.51
Offensive Rating (ORtg)+0.5 (12 - 107.2)0 (14 - 107.1)
Defensive Rating (DRtg)-1 (26 - 110.0)-1 (24 - 109.7)
Home Court0+3
Total-2.54-0.51
Formulated Spread+2.01-2.01
Pick (units)NYK +4 (1 unit)-------
10:30pmPortland +14Golden State -14
Simple Rating System (SRS)-1.68+10.42
Offensive Rating (ORtg)+1 (6 - 110.9)+1.5 (2 - 116.3)
Defensive Rating (DRtg)-1.5 (30 - 112.9)+1 (6 - 104.6)
Home Court0+3
Total-2.18+15.92
Formulated Spread+18.10-18.10
Pick (units)-------GS -14 (2 units)




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