The UEFA Euro 2016 soccer tournament kicks off from France on Friday with the hosts facing Romania in the opening game. I've developed a handicapping formula specifically for this tournament, but I will now be able to use the framework for additional games, too.
Friday's table below:
| 3:00pm (Draw=Loss) | France -330 | Romania +1397 |
|---|---|---|
| Recent Performance (UEFA 2016 qualifying) | +2 (*Projection, 6-2-2, 20pts / 10 games Host team - no qualifying) | +2 (5-5-0, 20pts / 10 games +2.0) |
| Goal Differential (UEFA 2016 qualifying) | +1 (*Projection, 19-8, +11, +1.10 Host team - no qualifying) | +1 (11-2, +0.90) |
| FIFA Ranking Differential | +5 (17) | 0 (22) |
| Sum | +8 | +3 |
| Advantage (units) | +5 (1 unit) | ------- |
| Goal Total Recommended Bet (units) | ------- | Under 2.5 (0.5 unit) 2.0 |
| Final Score Prediction | 2 | 0 |
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